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Path to Glory

Select a country and uncover their most realistic
path to clinch the FIFA World Cup 2026 Trophy.

Can your team win the World Cup?

Simply select your favorite qualifying team to see their most realistic path to clinching the trophy.

Once you select your favorite qualified team, we use a Monte Carlo simulation to determine their most realistic path to clinching the trophy. This computerized mathematical technique is used to predict the probability of different outcomes when an event is uncertain. Instead of predicting a single "best guess," it runs a model thousands to millions of times to see the full range of possible results.

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